Value bet: Forge to win @ 1.69 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultForge to win ✓65% · @1.69
Double chanceForge or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Forge vs Supra du Quebec preview and prediction
The match
Supra du Quebec travel to Tim Hortons Field in the Canadian Premier League on Thursday 20 August (00:00 WAT) to face Forge. Forge are 2nd with 58 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Supra du Quebec sit 4th on 38 points (in the top four). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Forge's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Cavalry FC 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Supra du Quebec's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Atlético Ottawa 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Supra du Quebec 1–2 Forge. Across their last 2 meetings Forge have won 2, Supra du Quebec 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Forge and 0.8 for Supra du Quebec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forge 65%, draw 22%, Supra du Quebec 13%.
Safer route: Forge or draw (87%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Forge to win at 1.69 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forge65%fair 1.53 · @1.69
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.65
Supra du Quebec13%fair 7.82 · @4.45
2.77Expected goals
1.99Forge xG
0.77Supra du Quebec xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Forge 2.0 – 0.8 Supra du Quebec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
On our numbers Forge have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Supra du Quebec 13%.
How many goals will there be in Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our predicted score is Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Forge vs Supra du Quebec (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Tim Hortons Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
