York United vs HFX Wanderers FC prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: HFX Wanderers FC to win @ 2.74 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHFX Wanderers FC to win ✗40% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC preview and prediction
The match
The Canadian Premier League sees York United take on HFX Wanderers FC on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at York Lions Stadium. York United are 6th with 30 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while HFX Wanderers FC sit 7th on 28 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
York United's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Pacific FC 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
HFX Wanderers FC's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Atlético Ottawa 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
HFX Wanderers FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for York United and 1.6 for HFX Wanderers FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: York United 37%, draw 22%, HFX Wanderers FC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Value angle: HFX Wanderers FC to win at 2.74 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: York United 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York United37%fair 2.67 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
HFX Wanderers FC40%fair 2.49 · @2.74
3.05Expected goals
1.50York United xG
1.56HFX Wanderers FC xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: York United 1.5 – 1.6 HFX Wanderers FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HFX Wanderers FC to win✗
40%
2.49
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HFX Wanderers FC / FT HFX Wanderers FC✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
York United – last 6
DLLDLL
8 Aug
@ Pacific FC
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Cavalry FC
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs Forge
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Atlético Ottawa
1–1
D
5 Jul
@ Vancouver FC
0–4
L
11 Jun
vs Cavalry FC
1–5
L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HFX Wanderers FC – last 6
LDLDWL
8 Aug
@ Atlético Ottawa
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Forge
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs Supra du Quebec
2–3
L
18 Jul
@ Cavalry FC
1–1
D
5 Jul
@ Pacific FC
2–1
W
1 Jul
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York United and HFX Wanderers FC.
What is the prediction for York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
On our numbers York United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and HFX Wanderers FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Our predicted score is York United 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
