Atlético Ottawa vs York United prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Atlético Ottawa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Atlético Ottawa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlético Ottawa to win ✗60% · @1.84
Double chanceAtlético Ottawa or draw ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Atlético Ottawa vs York United preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Ottawa host York United in the Canadian Premier League on Saturday 18 July, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at TD Place Stadium. Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 43 points from 28 games (in the top four), while York United sit 6th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlético Ottawa's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Supra du Quebec 1–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
York United's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Vancouver FC 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished York United 4–1 Atlético Ottawa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Atlético Ottawa and 1.1 for York United. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Ottawa 60%, draw 20%, York United 20%.
Safer route: Atlético Ottawa or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Atlético Ottawa to win at 1.84 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atlético Ottawa or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Ottawa60%fair 1.67 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.60
York United20%fair 5.04 · @3.75
3.13Expected goals
2.04Atlético Ottawa xG
1.08York United xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 2.0 – 1.1 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
Our pick is Atlético Ottawa or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and York United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 2–1 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs York United?
Atlético Ottawa vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
