Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Vancouver FC to win @ 1.94 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVancouver FC to win ✓56% · @1.94
Double chanceVancouver FC or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.22
Vancouver FC vs York United preview and prediction
The match
Vancouver FC host York United in the Canadian Premier League on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Willoughby Community Park Stadium. Vancouver FC are 5th with 37 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while York United sit 6th on 30 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Vancouver FC's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Forge 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
York United's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Cavalry FC 1–5 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Vancouver FC and 0.9 for York United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vancouver FC 56%, draw 26%, York United 18%.
Safer route: Vancouver FC or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Vancouver FC to win at 1.94 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vancouver FC or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vancouver FC 1–0 York United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vancouver FC56%fair 1.77 · @1.94
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.35
York United18%fair 5.64 · @3.60
2.68Expected goals
1.77Vancouver FC xG
0.91York United xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: Vancouver FC 1.8 – 0.9 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vancouver FC to win✓
56%
1.77
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Vancouver FC or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.80
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Vancouver FC ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vancouver FC / FT Vancouver FC✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.22
–
Form
Vancouver FC – last 6
LWWLDL
1 Jul
@ Forge
2–3
L
14 Jun
vs Pacific FC
2–1
W
6 Jun
vs Atlético Ottawa
2–1
W
30 May
@ HFX Wanderers FC
0–1
L
23 May
vs Supra du Quebec
1–1
D
18 May
vs Cavalry FC
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
York United – last 5
LLLWW
11 Jun
vs Cavalry FC
1–5
L
7 Jun
vs Forge
1–4
L
30 May
@ Supra du Quebec
1–3
L
17 May
@ Pacific FC
1–0
W
2 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
4–1
W
1.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vancouver FC and York United.
What is the prediction for Vancouver FC vs York United?
Our pick is Vancouver FC or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Vancouver FC vs York United?
On our numbers Vancouver FC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 26% and York United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Vancouver FC vs York United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vancouver FC vs York United?
Our predicted score is Vancouver FC 1–0 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vancouver FC vs York United?
Vancouver FC vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Willoughby Community Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
