Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Cavalry FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Cavalry FC to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCavalry FC to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceCavalry FC or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.80
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC preview and prediction
The match
Atlético Ottawa host Cavalry FC in the Canadian Premier League on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at TD Place Stadium. Atlético Ottawa are 3rd with 43 points from 28 games (in the top four), while Cavalry FC sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atlético Ottawa's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat HFX Wanderers FC 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Cavalry FC's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat York United 5–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Atlético Ottawa and 2.0 for Cavalry FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlético Ottawa 14%, draw 25%, Cavalry FC 61%.
Safer route: Cavalry FC or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Cavalry FC to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cavalry FC or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlético Ottawa 0–1 Cavalry FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlético Ottawa14%fair 6.90 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.55
Cavalry FC61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
2.85Expected goals
0.89Atlético Ottawa xG
1.96Cavalry FC xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 0.9 – 2.0 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cavalry FC to win✓
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Cavalry FC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.38
Half-time result
Cavalry FC ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cavalry FC / FT Cavalry FC✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.80
–
Form
Atlético Ottawa – last 6
WWLDWW
1 Jul
@ HFX Wanderers FC
3–1
W
10 Jun
vs Supra du Quebec
5–3
W
6 Jun
@ Vancouver FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Pacific FC
2–2
D
24 May
vs Forge
2–1
W
17 May
vs HFX Wanderers FC
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cavalry FC – last 6
WWLWWW
11 Jun
@ York United
5–1
W
7 Jun
vs HFX Wanderers FC
2–0
W
31 May
@ Forge
0–1
L
24 May
vs Pacific FC
3–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver FC
2–0
W
10 May
@ Pacific FC
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Ottawa and Cavalry FC.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Cavalry FC or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cavalry FC 61%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 0–1 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
