York United host Cavalry FC in the Canadian Premier League on Thursday 11 June, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at York Lions Stadium. York United are 6th with 30 points from 28 games (in the bottom three), while Cavalry FC sit 1st on 60 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
York United's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Forge 1–4 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cavalry FC's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat HFX Wanderers FC 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cavalry FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for York United and 1.5 for Cavalry FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: York United 29%, draw 21%, Cavalry FC 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: York United 1–1 Cavalry FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
York United29%fair 3.41 · @3.45
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.35
Cavalry FC50%fair 2.01 · @1.98
2.51Expected goals
1.04York United xG
1.47Cavalry FC xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: York United 1.0 – 1.5 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cavalry FC to win✓
50%
2.01
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cavalry FC / FT Cavalry FC✓
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
York United – last 4
LLWW
7 Jun
vs Forge
1–4
L
30 May
@ Supra du Quebec
1–3
L
17 May
@ Pacific FC
1–0
W
2 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Cavalry FC – last 6
WLWWWW
7 Jun
vs HFX Wanderers FC
2–0
W
31 May
@ Forge
0–1
L
24 May
vs Pacific FC
3–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver FC
2–0
W
10 May
@ Pacific FC
3–1
W
5 Apr
@ Pacific FC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York United and Cavalry FC.
What is the prediction for York United vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win York United vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers York United have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cavalry FC 50%.
How many goals will there be in York United vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York United vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is York United 1–1 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is York United vs Cavalry FC?
York United vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
