Value bet: Forge to win @ 1.68 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultForge to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceForge or draw ✓89% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓20% · fair 5.12
Vancouver FC vs Forge preview and prediction
The match
Forge travel to Willoughby Community Park Stadium in the Canadian Premier League on Monday 13 April (00:00 WAT) to face Vancouver FC. Vancouver FC are 5th with 37 points from 28 games (in the bottom half), while Forge sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Vancouver FC and 1.6 for Forge. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 56% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vancouver FC 11%, draw 24%, Forge 65%.
Safer route: Forge or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Forge to win at 1.68 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vancouver FC 0–1 Forge. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vancouver FC11%fair 9.42 · @4.65
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
Forge65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
2.12Expected goals
0.49Vancouver FC xG
1.63Forge xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–216%
0–012%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Vancouver FC 0.5 – 1.6 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forge to win✓
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Forge or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forge / FT Forge✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
20%
5.12
–
Form
Vancouver FC – last 2
LL
5 Apr
vs HFX Wanderers FC
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Cruz Azul
0–5
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Forge
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vancouver FC and Forge.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Vancouver FC vs Forge?
On our numbers Vancouver FC have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forge 65%.
How many goals will there be in Vancouver FC vs Forge?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vancouver FC vs Forge?
Our predicted score is Vancouver FC 0–1 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vancouver FC vs Forge?
Vancouver FC vs Forge (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Willoughby Community Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
