Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalPa to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
TPV vs SalPa preview and prediction
The match
SalPa travel to Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass in the Ykkönen on Tuesday 11 August (16:30 WAT) to face TPV. TPV are 10th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
TPV's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to OLS 2–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
SalPa's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat JJK 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished SalPa 4–2 TPV.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.6 for TPV and 1.9 for SalPa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: TPV 34%, draw 21%, SalPa 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: TPV 1–1 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TPV34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
SalPa45%fair 2.20 · @2.10
3.50Expected goals
1.61TPV xG
1.89SalPa xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: TPV 1.6 – 1.9 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win TPV vs SalPa?
On our numbers TPV have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SalPa 45%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is TPV 1–1 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is TPV vs SalPa?
TPV vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
