Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalPa to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.35
SalPa vs JJK preview and prediction
The match
SalPa host JJK in the Ykkönen on Wednesday 5 August, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Salon urheilupuisto. SalPa are 3rd with 48 points from 27 games (in the top four), while JJK sit 8th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
SalPa's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to KPV-j 0–3 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
JJK's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Rops 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.5 for SalPa and 1.4 for JJK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: SalPa 60%, draw 19%, JJK 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SalPa to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SalPa 2–1 JJK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SalPa60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
JJK21%fair 4.80 · @3.10
3.91Expected goals
2.48SalPa xG
1.43JJK xG
69%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: SalPa 2.5 – 1.4 JJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.35
–
Form
SalPa – last 6
LLWWDD
1 Aug
@ KPV-j
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs PKKU
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Inter Turku II
2–1
W
10 Jul
@ Tampere United
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs VJS
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Rops
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
JJK – last 6
LLDLWW
25 Jul
@ Rops
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs FC jazz
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs KuPS Akatemia
4–4
D
5 Jul
@ TPV
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs Inter Turku II
11–1
W
13 Jun
@ KPV-j
3–2
W
3.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SalPa and JJK.
Our pick is SalPa to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win SalPa vs JJK?
On our numbers SalPa have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and JJK 21%.
How many goals will there be in SalPa vs JJK?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SalPa vs JJK?
Our predicted score is SalPa 2–1 JJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is SalPa vs JJK?
SalPa vs JJK (Ykkönen) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Salon urheilupuisto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
