Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalPa to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
KPV-j vs SalPa preview and prediction
The match
KPV-j host SalPa in the Ykkönen on Saturday 1 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kokkolan keskuskentta. KPV-j are 11th with 19 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KPV-j's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to OLS 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
SalPa's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to PKKU 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
SalPa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.3 for KPV-j and 2.5 for SalPa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: KPV-j 20%, draw 17%, SalPa 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: KPV-j 1–2 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KPV-j20%fair 5.04 · @5.00
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @4.60
SalPa63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
3.78Expected goals
1.32KPV-j xG
2.46SalPa xG
68%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: KPV-j 1.3 – 2.5 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Form
KPV-j – last 6
LDLWLL
26 Jul
@ OLS
1–2
L
20 Jul
vs Rops
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs TPV
1–3
L
2 Jul
@ FC jazz
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs PKKU
1–3
L
13 Jun
vs JJK
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SalPa – last 6
LWWDDW
25 Jul
vs PKKU
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Inter Turku II
2–1
W
10 Jul
@ Tampere United
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs VJS
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Rops
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs KuPS Akatemia
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KPV-j and SalPa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KPV-j vs SalPa?
On our numbers KPV-j have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 17% and SalPa 63%.
How many goals will there be in KPV-j vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KPV-j vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is KPV-j 1–2 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is KPV-j vs SalPa?
KPV-j vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kokkolan keskuskentta.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
