Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC jazz to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia preview and prediction
The match
FC jazz host KuPS Akatemia in the Ykkönen on Thursday 30 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Porin Stadion. FC jazz are 6th with 40 points from 27 games (in the top half), while KuPS Akatemia sit 12th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC jazz's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat TPV 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
KuPS Akatemia's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with VJS 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC jazz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for FC jazz and 1.2 for KuPS Akatemia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC jazz 63%, draw 15%, KuPS Akatemia 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.33.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC jazz to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC jazz 2–1 KuPS Akatemia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC jazz63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw15%fair 6.86 · @3.80
KuPS Akatemia23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
3.47Expected goals
2.24FC jazz xG
1.23KuPS Akatemia xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC jazz 2.2 – 1.2 KuPS Akatemia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC jazz to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
FC jazz ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC jazz / FT FC jazz✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.41
–
Form
FC jazz – last 6
WWLLLD
24 Jul
vs TPV
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ JJK
3–1
W
11 Jul
@ PKKU
1–2
L
2 Jul
vs KPV-j
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs Tampere United
0–1
L
12 Jun
@ Inter Turku II
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KuPS Akatemia – last 6
DLDLDL
26 Jul
vs VJS
2–2
D
18 Jul
@ TPV
1–3
L
11 Jul
@ JJK
4–4
D
4 Jul
vs Tampere United
2–3
L
28 Jun
@ OLS
2–2
D
12 Jun
@ SalPa
3–4
L
2.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC jazz and KuPS Akatemia.
What is the prediction for FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia?
Our pick is FC jazz to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia?
On our numbers FC jazz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and KuPS Akatemia 23%.
How many goals will there be in FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia?
Our predicted score is FC jazz 2–1 KuPS Akatemia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia?
FC jazz vs KuPS Akatemia (Ykkönen) kicks off on Thursday 30 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Porin Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
