Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampere United to win ✗60% · @1.75
Double chanceTampere United or draw ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.51
Tampere United vs SalPa preview and prediction
The match
Tampere United host SalPa in the Ykkönen on Friday 10 July, with kick-off at 16:30 (WAT) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass. Tampere United are 1st with 54 points from 27 games (top of the table), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tampere United's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat KuPS Akatemia 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
SalPa's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with VJS 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Tampere United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.3 for Tampere United and 1.3 for SalPa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampere United 60%, draw 23%, SalPa 18%.
Safer route: Tampere United or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tampere United or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tampere United 2–1 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampere United60%fair 1.68 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.60
SalPa18%fair 5.61 · @3.80
3.53Expected goals
2.28Tampere United xG
1.25SalPa xG
65%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tampere United 2.3 – 1.3 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tampere United to win✗
60%
1.68
1.75
Double chance
Tampere United or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Tampere United ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tampere United / FT Tampere United✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.51
–
Form
Tampere United – last 6
WWWWWW
4 Jul
@ KuPS Akatemia
3–2
W
25 Jun
@ FC jazz
1–0
W
11 Jun
vs OLS
3–0
W
6 Jun
@ Rops
1–0
W
29 May
@ TPV
3–0
W
22 May
vs JJK
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SalPa – last 6
DDWLWW
4 Jul
vs VJS
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Rops
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs KuPS Akatemia
4–3
W
6 Jun
@ OLS
0–5
L
28 May
@ FC jazz
2–1
W
23 May
vs TPV
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tampere United and SalPa.
What is the prediction for Tampere United vs SalPa?
Our pick is Tampere United or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tampere United vs SalPa?
On our numbers Tampere United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SalPa 18%.
How many goals will there be in Tampere United vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampere United vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is Tampere United 2–1 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Tampere United vs SalPa?
Tampere United vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Friday 10 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
