Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJJK to win ✗66% · @1.57
Double chanceJJK or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
TPV vs JJK preview and prediction
The match
TPV host JJK in the Ykkönen on Sunday 5 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass. TPV are 10th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while JJK sit 8th on 34 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
TPV's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to VJS 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.2 conceded.
JJK's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Inter Turku II 11–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
JJK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.1 for TPV and 2.5 for JJK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: TPV 11%, draw 23%, JJK 66%.
Safer route: JJK or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was JJK to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: TPV 1–2 JJK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TPV11%fair 8.75 · @4.40
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.90
JJK66%fair 1.52 · @1.57
3.64Expected goals
1.10TPV xG
2.54JJK xG
63%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–38%
1–17%
0–37%
0–17%
From our goals model: TPV 1.1 – 2.5 JJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JJK to win✗
66%
1.52
1.57
Double chance
JJK or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
JJK ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JJK / FT JJK✗
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.74
–
Form
TPV – last 6
LDDLLL
29 Jun
@ VJS
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ PKKU
2–2
D
6 Jun
vs Inter Turku II
1–1
D
29 May
vs Tampere United
0–3
L
23 May
@ SalPa
2–4
L
9 May
@ Rops
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
JJK – last 6
WWLDWL
25 Jun
vs Inter Turku II
11–1
W
13 Jun
@ KPV-j
3–2
W
6 Jun
vs PKKU
1–3
L
2 Jun
vs VJS
2–2
D
28 May
vs OLS
1–0
W
22 May
@ Tampere United
0–1
L
3.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between TPV and JJK.
Our pick is JJK to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win TPV vs JJK?
On our numbers TPV have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 23% and JJK 66%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs JJK?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs JJK?
Our predicted score is TPV 1–2 JJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is TPV vs JJK?
TPV vs JJK (Ykkönen) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
