Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Tampere United to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampere United to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceTampere United or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
TPV vs Tampere United preview and prediction
The match
The Ykkönen sees TPV take on Tampere United on Friday 29 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tammelan Stadion. TPV are 10th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Tampere United sit 1st on 54 points (top of the table). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
TPV's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to SalPa 2–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Tampere United's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat JJK 1–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tampere United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished TPV 0–2 Tampere United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for TPV and 1.9 for Tampere United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: TPV 21%, draw 21%, Tampere United 59%.
Safer route: Tampere United or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Tampere United to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tampere United or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: TPV 0–1 Tampere United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
TPV21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.40
Tampere United59%fair 1.70 · @1.91
2.88Expected goals
1.00TPV xG
1.88Tampere United xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: TPV 1.0 – 1.9 Tampere United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Tampere United or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win TPV vs Tampere United?
On our numbers TPV have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tampere United 59%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs Tampere United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs Tampere United?
Our predicted score is TPV 0–1 Tampere United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is TPV vs Tampere United?
TPV vs Tampere United (Ykkönen) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammelan Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
