Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSalPa to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.36
FC jazz vs SalPa preview and prediction
The match
SalPa travel to Porin Stadion in the Ykkönen on Thursday 28 May (16:30 WAT) to face FC jazz. FC jazz are 6th with 40 points from 27 games (in the top half), while SalPa sit 3rd on 48 points (in the top four).
Form guide
FC jazz's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat OLS 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
SalPa's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat TPV 4–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
FC jazz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for FC jazz and 2.1 for SalPa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC jazz 24%, draw 16%, SalPa 60%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SalPa to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC jazz 1–2 SalPa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC jazz24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Draw16%fair 6.26 · @3.50
SalPa60%fair 1.68 · @1.95
3.38Expected goals
1.25FC jazz xG
2.13SalPa xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC jazz 1.3 – 2.1 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✓
60%
1.68
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.36
–
Form
FC jazz – last 3
WWL
24 May
@ OLS
2–1
W
20 Apr
@ KPV-j
2–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tampere United
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SalPa – last 5
WLLWD
23 May
vs TPV
4–2
W
2 May
@ PKKU
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Inter Turku II
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Fish United
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Rops
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC jazz and SalPa.
Our pick is SalPa to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win FC jazz vs SalPa?
On our numbers FC jazz have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 16% and SalPa 60%.
How many goals will there be in FC jazz vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC jazz vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is FC jazz 1–2 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC jazz vs SalPa?
FC jazz vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Thursday 28 May 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Porin Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
