Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗91% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.28
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano preview and prediction
The match
Parceiro Nagano travel to Sunpro Alwin in the J2 League on Sunday 26 April (06:00 WAT) to face Matsumoto Yamaga.
Form guide
Matsumoto Yamaga's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Consadole Sapporo 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Parceiro Nagano's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Iwaki 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Matsumoto Yamaga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Parceiro Nagano 0–5 Matsumoto Yamaga.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.8 for Parceiro Nagano. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Matsumoto Yamaga 2–0 Parceiro Nagano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Matsumoto Yamaga69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.95
Parceiro Nagano9%fair 11.08 · @6.50
3.08Expected goals
2.30Matsumoto Yamaga xG
0.79Parceiro Nagano xG
54%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 2.3 – 0.8 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?
On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Parceiro Nagano 9%.
How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?
Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 2–0 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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