Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 19 Apr 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSagan Tosu to win ✓49% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu preview and prediction

The match

Roasso Kumamoto host Sagan Tosu in the J2 League on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 07:00 (WAT) at Egao Kenko Stadium.

Form guide

Roasso Kumamoto's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0–5 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.

Sagan Tosu's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Kitakyushu 1–0 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sagan Tosu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.9 for Roasso Kumamoto and 1.4 for Sagan Tosu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Roasso Kumamoto 28%, draw 23%, Sagan Tosu 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Sagan Tosu to win at 2.20 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.00. Predicted score: Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Sagan Tosu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Roasso Kumamoto28%fair 3.61 · @3.10

Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.90

Sagan Tosu49%fair 2.05 · @2.20

2.30Expected goals

0.93Roasso Kumamoto xG

1.37Sagan Tosu xG

51%Both score

40%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–114%

1–113%

0–010%

0–29%

1–09%

1–29%

From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 0.9 – 1.4 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sagan Tosu to win ✓	49%	2.05	2.20 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.31	1.40 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.97	2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	60%	1.68	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.18	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu ✓	27%	3.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	14%	7.30	–

Form

Roasso Kumamoto – last 6

LWLLLL

12 Apr	vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0–5	L
4 Apr	@ FC Ryukyu	1–0	W
29 Mar	vs Kagoshima United	0–1	L
21 Mar	@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0–1	L
15 Mar	vs Gainare Tottori	0–1	L
8 Mar	@ Biwako Shiga	0–1	L

0.2Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

0%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Sagan Tosu – last 6

WLWWWL

12 Apr	@ Kitakyushu	1–0	W
5 Apr	vs Oita Trinita	0–1	L
29 Mar	@ Gainare Tottori	2–0	W
22 Mar	@ Biwako Shiga	2–0	W
14 Mar	vs Kitakyushu	1–0	W
7 Mar	@ Renofa Yamaguchi	0–2	L

1.0Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?

On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sagan Tosu 49%.

How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?

Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 1–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?

Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Roasso Kumamoto