Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTegevajaro Miyazaki to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceTegevajaro Miyazaki or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto preview and prediction
The match
Roasso Kumamoto travel to Unilever Stadium Shintomi in the J2 League on Saturday 21 March (06:00 WAT) to face Tegevajaro Miyazaki.
Form guide
Tegevajaro Miyazaki's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Oita Trinita 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roasso Kumamoto's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Gainare Tottori 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.0 for Roasso Kumamoto. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Safer route: Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Roasso Kumamoto. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tegevajaro Miyazaki63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.40
Roasso Kumamoto15%fair 6.51 · @3.70
3.08Expected goals
2.11Tegevajaro Miyazaki xG
0.97Roasso Kumamoto xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2.1 – 1.0 Roasso Kumamoto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki to win✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Tegevajaro Miyazaki ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tegevajaro Miyazaki / FT Tegevajaro Miyazaki✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.08
–
Form
Tegevajaro Miyazaki – last 5
WWWWW
14 Mar
vs Oita Trinita
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Kitakyushu
3–2
W
28 Feb
@ FC Ryukyu
2–0
W
21 Feb
vs Sagan Tosu
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Gainare Tottori
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Roasso Kumamoto – last 4
LLWW
15 Mar
vs Gainare Tottori
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Oita Trinita
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Kitakyushu
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Roasso Kumamoto.
What is the prediction for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our pick is Tegevajaro Miyazaki or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
On our numbers Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roasso Kumamoto 15%.
How many goals will there be in Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Our predicted score is Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2–0 Roasso Kumamoto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto?
Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Roasso Kumamoto (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Unilever Stadium Shintomi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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