Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 8 Mar 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultOita Trinita to win ✗42% · @2.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United preview and prediction

The match

The J2 League sees Oita Trinita take on Kagoshima United on Sunday 8 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Resonac Dome Oita.

Form guide

Oita Trinita's last 4: LWWW Most recently they lost to Roasso Kumamoto 1–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kagoshima United's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Sagan Tosu 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Oita Trinita and 1.2 for Kagoshima United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Oita Trinita 42%, draw 24%, Kagoshima United 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Oita Trinita to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Oita Trinita 1–1 Kagoshima United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Oita Trinita42%fair 2.41 · @2.60

Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10

Kagoshima United34%fair 2.93 · @2.60

2.52Expected goals

1.34Oita Trinita xG

1.18Kagoshima United xG

59%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–011%

0–19%

2–19%

0–08%

1–28%

From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.3 – 1.2 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oita Trinita to win ✗	42%	2.41	2.60 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	76%	1.32	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	59%	1.71	1.83 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.44	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	44%	2.28	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗	23%	4.27	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	11%	9.30	–

Form

Oita Trinita – last 4

LWWW

1 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–3	L
25 Feb	vs Biwako Shiga	2–0	W
22 Feb	vs Gainare Tottori	2–0	W
15 Feb	vs Kitakyushu	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

25%Both scored

25%Over 2.5

Kagoshima United – last 3

WWW

28 Feb	@ Sagan Tosu	1–0	W
22 Feb	vs Renofa Yamaguchi	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs FC Ryukyu	3–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kagoshima United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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