Value bet: Omiya Ardija to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOmiya Ardija to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo preview and prediction
The match
The J2 League sees Omiya Ardija take on Consadole Sapporo on Saturday 14 February, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya. Omiya Ardija are 5th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Consadole Sapporo sit 7th on 26 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Omiya Ardija and 0.8 for Consadole Sapporo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Omiya Ardija 58%, draw 20%, Consadole Sapporo 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Omiya Ardija to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.42, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Omiya Ardija 1–0 Consadole Sapporo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Omiya Ardija58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.50
Consadole Sapporo22%fair 4.55 · @3.60
2.47Expected goals
1.62Omiya Ardija xG
0.85Consadole Sapporo xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Omiya Ardija 1.6 – 0.8 Consadole Sapporo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Omiya Ardija to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Omiya Ardija / FT Omiya Ardija✗
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Form
Omiya Ardija
No recent results on record.
Consadole Sapporo
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Omiya Ardija and Consadole Sapporo.
What is the prediction for Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?
On our numbers Omiya Ardija have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Consadole Sapporo 22%.
How many goals will there be in Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?
Our predicted score is Omiya Ardija 1–0 Consadole Sapporo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo?
Omiya Ardija vs Consadole Sapporo (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at NACK5 Stadium Omiya.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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