Value bet: Ried to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRied to win ✗39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Ried vs Lask Linz preview and prediction
The match
Lask Linz travel to Innviertel Arena in the Cup on Wednesday 18 March (18:00 WAT) to face Ried.
Form guide
Ried's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Austria Vienna 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Lask Linz's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with TSV Hartberg 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lask Linz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Ried and 1.3 for Lask Linz. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ried 39%, draw 24%, Lask Linz 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Ried to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ried 1–1 Lask Linz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ried39%fair 2.59 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Lask Linz37%fair 2.68 · @2.50
2.72Expected goals
1.38Ried xG
1.35Lask Linz xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ried 1.4 – 1.3 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ried to win✗
39%
2.59
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ried / FT Ried✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Form
Ried – last 3
LLD
8 Mar
vs Austria Vienna
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Grazer AK
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ WSG Wattens
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lask Linz – last 4
DWDL
13 Mar
vs TSV Hartberg
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Wolfsberger AC
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Austria Vienna
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ried and Lask Linz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ried vs Lask Linz?
On our numbers Ried have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lask Linz 37%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Lask Linz?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Lask Linz?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Lask Linz?
Ried vs Lask Linz (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Innviertel Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
