Super League · Uzbekistan · Xorazm StadiumXorazm vs Pakhtakor prediction & analysis
Pakhtakor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Xorazm 0.8 – 1.7 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Pakhtakor shade it despite being away from home – 60% to win, against 17% for Xorazm.
Xorazm have taken 3 points from their last 6 matches (0W 3D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.5 per game. Pakhtakor have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded. Pakhtakor come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (0.8 for Xorazm, 1.7 for Pakhtakor). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Xorazm have won 0, Pakhtakor have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.67.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Pakhtakor to win ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | Pakhtakor or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.86 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor ✗ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 14% | 7.19 | – |
Form
Xorazm – last 6
| 26 Oct | vs Navbahor | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Surkhon | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Oct | @ Neftchi | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | vs Qizilqum | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Olmaliq | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | vs Sogdiana | 0–0 | D |
Pakhtakor – last 6
| 26 Oct | @ Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | vs Neftchi | 1–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | @ Navbahor | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Oct | vs Bunyodkor | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Mash'al | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
| 21 Jul 2026 | Pakhtakor v Xorazm | 2–1 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pakhtakor 60%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Xorazm vs Pakhtakor?
Xorazm vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.