Super League · Uzbekistan · Sogdiana Sport ComplexSogdiana vs Buxoro prediction & analysis
Sogdiana to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sogdiana 2.2 – 1.0 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sogdiana are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 13% for Buxoro.
Sogdiana have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Buxoro have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. Buxoro come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.2 goals (2.2 for Sogdiana, 1.0 for Buxoro). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10%), 2–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Sogdiana to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sogdiana to win ✗ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.62 |
| Double chance | Sogdiana or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 62% | 1.61 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Half-time result | Sogdiana ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.06 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana ✗ | 43% | 2.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 10% | 9.85 | – |
Form
Sogdiana – last 6
| 24 Oct | @ Nasaf | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Oct | vs Andijan | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Oct | @ Bunyodkor | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Lokomotiv | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Olmaliq | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Sep | @ Xorazm | 0–0 | D |
Buxoro – last 6
| 23 Oct | vs Surkhon | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Oct | @ Dinamo Samarqand | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | vs Andijan | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Bunyodkor | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs Navbahor | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sep | @ Qizilqum | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogdiana and Buxoro.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
Our pick is Sogdiana to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Sogdiana have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Buxoro 13%.
How many goals will there be in Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Sogdiana vs Buxoro?
Sogdiana vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Sogdiana Sport Complex.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.