Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Navbahor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNavbahor to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.23
Olmaliq vs Navbahor preview and prediction
The match
Olmaliq host Navbahor in the Super League on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi. Olmaliq are 5th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Navbahor sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Olmaliq's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Sogdiana 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Navbahor's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Dinamo Samarqand 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Navbahor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 July 2026, finished Navbahor 2–3 Olmaliq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Olmaliq and 1.9 for Navbahor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Olmaliq 16%, draw 25%, Navbahor 59%.
Safer route: Navbahor or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Navbahor to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Navbahor or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Olmaliq 0–1 Navbahor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olmaliq16%fair 6.43 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.30
Navbahor59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
2.73Expected goals
0.87Olmaliq xG
1.86Navbahor xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 0.9 – 1.9 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Navbahor or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Navbahor 59%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Navbahor?
Olmaliq vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
