Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Neftchi vs Xorazm preview and prediction
The match
Xorazm travel to Istiqlol Stadium in the Super League on Wednesday 7 October (15:00 WAT) to face Neftchi. Neftchi are 1st with 61 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Xorazm sit 13th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Neftchi's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv 1–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Xorazm's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Qizilqum 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Neftchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 April 2026, finished Xorazm 0–2 Neftchi.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Neftchi and 0.6 for Xorazm. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neftchi 72%, draw 15%, Xorazm 13%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neftchi72%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @5.50
Xorazm13%fair 7.69 · @11.00
2.66Expected goals
2.01Neftchi xG
0.65Xorazm xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–014%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Neftchi 2.0 – 0.6 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Neftchi vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Xorazm 13%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Xorazm?
Neftchi vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
