Value bet: Qizilqum to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultXorazm to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Xorazm vs Qizilqum preview and prediction
The match
Qizilqum travel to Xorazm Stadium in the Super League on Monday 21 September (16:15 WAT) to face Xorazm. Xorazm are 13th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Qizilqum sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Xorazm's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Olmaliq 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Qizilqum's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Dinamo Samarqand 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Qizilqum arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Qizilqum 0–0 Xorazm.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Xorazm and 1.1 for Qizilqum. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xorazm 39%, draw 26%, Qizilqum 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Qizilqum to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xorazm 1–1 Qizilqum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xorazm39%fair 2.56 · @2.05
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.88
Qizilqum35%fair 2.83 · @3.50
2.24Expected goals
1.16Xorazm xG
1.08Qizilqum xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Xorazm 1.2 – 1.1 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Qizilqum 35%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Xorazm 1–1 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
Xorazm vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
