Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗14% · fair 7.21
Mash'al vs Pakhtakor preview and prediction
The match
Mash'al host Pakhtakor in the Super League on Saturday 19 September, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Bahrom Vafoev Stadium. Mash'al are 16th with 5 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Pakhtakor sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 54 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mash'al's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Lokomotiv 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Pakhtakor's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Pakhtakor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Pakhtakor 2–1 Mash'al.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.7 for Mash'al and 2.2 for Pakhtakor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mash'al 9%, draw 17%, Pakhtakor 74%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pakhtakor to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mash'al 0–2 Pakhtakor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mash'al9%fair 10.61 · @9.00
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @6.00
Pakhtakor74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
2.90Expected goals
0.66Mash'al xG
2.24Pakhtakor xG
43%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–214%
0–112%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mash'al 0.7 – 2.2 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Mash'al have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Pakhtakor 74%.
How many goals will there be in Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Mash'al 0–2 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mash'al vs Pakhtakor?
Mash'al vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bahrom Vafoev Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
