Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Nasaf to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNasaf to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceNasaf or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.57
Qizilqum vs Nasaf preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Qizilqum take on Nasaf on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi. Qizilqum are 9th with 35 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Nasaf sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Qizilqum's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Sogdiana 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nasaf's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Navbahor 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Nasaf arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 July 2026, finished Nasaf 1–0 Qizilqum.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Qizilqum and 1.6 for Nasaf. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Qizilqum 13%, draw 26%, Nasaf 61%.
Safer route: Nasaf or draw (87%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Nasaf to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nasaf or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Qizilqum 0–1 Nasaf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Qizilqum13%fair 7.44 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.90
Nasaf61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
2.17Expected goals
0.60Qizilqum xG
1.57Nasaf xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Qizilqum 0.6 – 1.6 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Nasaf or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Qizilqum have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nasaf 61%.
How many goals will there be in Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
Our predicted score is Qizilqum 0–1 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
Qizilqum vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
