Super League · Uzbekistan · Markaziy StadiumNavbahor vs Nasaf prediction & analysis
Navbahor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.6 – 0.7 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Navbahor hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 17% for Nasaf.
Navbahor have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Nasaf have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.4 goals (1.6 for Navbahor, 0.7 for Nasaf). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Navbahor have won 0, Nasaf have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Navbahor to win at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.72.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Navbahor to win ✓ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Navbahor or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓ | 36% | 2.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 15% | 6.63 | – |
Form
Navbahor – last 6
| 14 Aug | vs Bunyodkor | 4–3 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ Surkhon | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | vs Xorazm | 5–1 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ Neftchi | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | vs Qizilqum | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | vs Olmaliq | 2–3 | L |
Nasaf – last 6
| 16 Aug | vs Pakhtakor | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Kokand-1912 | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Aug | @ Olmaliq | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jul | vs Qizilqum | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Jul | @ Mash'al | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Jul | @ Bunyodkor | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
| 4 May 2026 | Nasaf v Navbahor | 0–0 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi | 26 | +38 | 61 |
| 2 |  Pakhtakor | 27 | +22 | 59 |
| 3 |  Navbahor | 27 | +21 | 55 |
| 4 |  Nasaf | 27 | +15 | 45 |
| 5 |  Olmaliq | 27 | +4 | 45 |
| 6 |  Lokomotiv | 27 | +10 | 43 |
| 7 |  Buxoro | 27 | +4 | 42 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Samarqand | 27 | +2 | 37 |
| 9 |  Qizilqum | 27 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 |  Surkhon | 27 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 |  Andijan | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 |  Sogdiana | 27 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 |  Xorazm | 27 | -15 | 26 |
| 14 |  Bunyodkor | 26 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 |  Kokand-1912 | 27 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 |  Mash'al | 27 | -41 | 5 |
More Super League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Navbahor vs Nasaf?
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Navbahor vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nasaf 17%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
When is Navbahor vs Nasaf?
Navbahor vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.