Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSogdiana to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Surkhon vs Sogdiana preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Surkhon take on Sogdiana on Thursday 13 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadion Surkhon. Surkhon are 10th with 31 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Sogdiana sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Surkhon's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Navbahor 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sogdiana's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Andijan 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Sogdiana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Sogdiana 5–2 Surkhon.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Surkhon and 1.6 for Sogdiana. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Surkhon 35%, draw 24%, Sogdiana 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Surkhon 1–1 Sogdiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Surkhon35%fair 2.85 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.00
Sogdiana41%fair 2.47 · @2.25
3.09Expected goals
1.48Surkhon xG
1.61Sogdiana xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Surkhon 1.5 – 1.6 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Surkhon vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sogdiana 41%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Surkhon 1–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Surkhon vs Sogdiana?
Surkhon vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.