Pakhtakor travel to Markaziy Stadium in the Super League on Sunday 16 August (15:00 WAT) to face Nasaf. Nasaf are 4th with 45 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Pakhtakor sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nasaf's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Kokand-1912 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pakhtakor's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Al Hussein 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 April 2026, finished Pakhtakor 2–2 Nasaf.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Nasaf and 1.3 for Pakhtakor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nasaf 34%, draw 25%, Pakhtakor 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Nasaf 1–1 Pakhtakor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nasaf34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.88
Pakhtakor41%fair 2.45 · @2.30
2.41Expected goals
1.13Nasaf xG
1.28Pakhtakor xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.1 – 1.3 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pakhtakor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
Nasaf vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
