Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.55
Neftchi vs Qizilqum preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Neftchi take on Qizilqum on Saturday 8 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Istiqlol Stadium. Neftchi are 1st with 61 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Qizilqum sit 9th on 35 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Neftchi's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Dinamo Samarqand 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Qizilqum's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Nasaf 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Neftchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.9 for Neftchi and 0.5 for Qizilqum. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 45%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Neftchi 71%, draw 21%, Qizilqum 8%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Neftchi 1–0 Qizilqum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Neftchi71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @5.50
Qizilqum8%fair 12.16 · @13.00
2.34Expected goals
1.87Neftchi xG
0.47Qizilqum xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–017%
3–011%
0–010%
1–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Neftchi 1.9 – 0.5 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.55
–
Form
Neftchi – last 6
DDWWLD
3 Aug
@ Dinamo Samarqand
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Navbahor
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Sogdiana
5–1
W
16 Jul
vs Buxoro
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Zenit
1–4
L
3 May
@ Olmaliq
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 6
LDLLDW
28 Jul
@ Nasaf
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
4 May
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Xorazm
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qizilqum 8%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
Neftchi vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
