Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPakhtakor to win ✓66% · @1.60
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 7.25
Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Bunyodkor take on Pakhtakor on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Milliy Stadium. Bunyodkor are 14th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Pakhtakor sit 2nd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bunyodkor's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Buxoro 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pakhtakor's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Xorazm 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Pakhtakor arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Bunyodkor and 1.9 for Pakhtakor. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Pakhtakor to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.51, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bunyodkor 0–1 Pakhtakor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bunyodkor15%fair 6.77 · @4.60
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.50
Pakhtakor66%fair 1.51 · @1.60
2.62Expected goals
0.73Bunyodkor xG
1.89Pakhtakor xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bunyodkor 0.7 – 1.9 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✓
66%
1.51
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Pakhtakor ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
7.25
–
Form
Bunyodkor – last 6
LLLWLW
21 Jul
@ Buxoro
0–1
L
16 Jul
vs Nasaf
1–3
L
3 May
@ Kokand-1912
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Navbahor
2–1
W
24 Apr
vs Andijan
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Sogdiana
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pakhtakor – last 6
WDDWWW
21 Jul
vs Xorazm
2–1
W
17 Jul
vs Lokomotiv
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Buxoro
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bunyodkor and Pakhtakor.
What is the prediction for Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pakhtakor 66%.
How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 0–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?
Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
