Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Navbahor to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNavbahor to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Bunyodkor take on Navbahor on Wednesday 29 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Milliy Stadium. Bunyodkor are 14th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Navbahor sit 3rd on 55 points (in the top four). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bunyodkor's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Andijan 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Navbahor's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Sogdiana 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Bunyodkor and 1.6 for Navbahor. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Navbahor to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Navbahor or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bunyodkor 0–1 Navbahor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bunyodkor15%fair 6.61 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.00
Navbahor63%fair 1.59 · @1.91
2.17Expected goals
0.59Bunyodkor xG
1.58Navbahor xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Bunyodkor 0.6 – 1.6 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✗
63%
1.59
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.54
–
Form
Bunyodkor – last 6
LWLWWW
24 Apr
vs Andijan
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Sogdiana
3–2
W
14 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–1
L
7 Apr
@ Mash'al
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Lokomotiv
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Xorazm
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Navbahor – last 6
DWWWWL
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
17 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
2–0
W
12 Apr
vs Surkhon
2–0
W
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bunyodkor and Navbahor.
Our pick is Navbahor or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Navbahor 63%.
How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bunyodkor vs Navbahor?
Bunyodkor vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
