Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNeftchi to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.25
Xorazm vs Neftchi preview and prediction
The match
Neftchi travel to Xorazm Stadium in the Super League on Friday 24 April (15:00 WAT) to face Xorazm. Xorazm are 13th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Neftchi sit 1st on 61 points (top of the table). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Xorazm's last 5: DDWLD Most recently they drew with Kokand-1912 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Neftchi's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Bunyodkor 1–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Neftchi arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Xorazm and 1.8 for Neftchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xorazm 13%, draw 19%, Neftchi 68%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 50% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Neftchi to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Xorazm 0–1 Neftchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xorazm13%fair 7.89 · @6.50
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
Neftchi68%fair 1.47 · @1.44
2.44Expected goals
0.60Xorazm xG
1.84Neftchi xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–215%
1–110%
0–39%
1–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: Xorazm 0.6 – 1.8 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.25
–
Form
Xorazm – last 6
DDWLDW
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Bunyodkor
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Buxoro
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Olmaliq
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Neftchi – last 6
WLWWWW
14 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Pakhtakor
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Pakhtakor
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Andijan
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Surkhon
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xorazm and Neftchi.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Xorazm vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Neftchi 68%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Neftchi?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Xorazm 0–1 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Xorazm vs Neftchi?
Xorazm vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
