Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Navbahor vs Surkhon preview and prediction
The match
Surkhon travel to Markaziy Stadium in the Super League on Sunday 12 April (12:00 WAT) to face Navbahor. Navbahor are 3rd with 55 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Surkhon sit 10th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Navbahor's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Andijan 1–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Surkhon's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Olmaliq 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Navbahor and 0.6 for Surkhon. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 40%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Navbahor 68%, draw 19%, Surkhon 13%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Navbahor to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Navbahor 1–0 Surkhon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Navbahor68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.45
Surkhon13%fair 7.79 · @5.10
2.37Expected goals
1.79Navbahor xG
0.58Surkhon xG
40%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.8 – 0.6 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✓
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Navbahor ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.97
–
Form
Navbahor – last 6
WWLWLD
7 Apr
@ Andijan
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Kokand-1912
1–2
L
10 Mar
@ Pakhtakor
2–0
W
5 Mar
vs Buxoro
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Surkhon – last 5
DWDLW
8 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Nasaf
1–0
W
11 Mar
vs Bunyodkor
0–0
D
5 Mar
vs Neftchi
0–3
L
17 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–0
W
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Surkhon.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Navbahor vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Surkhon 13%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Surkhon?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Surkhon?
Navbahor vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
