Value bet: Buxoro to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDinamo Samarqand to win ✗37% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand preview and prediction
The match
Buxoro host Dinamo Samarqand in the Super League on Thursday 19 March, with kick-off at 14:15 (WAT) at Buxoro FA Stadioni. Buxoro are 7th with 42 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Dinamo Samarqand sit 8th on 37 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Buxoro's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Xorazm 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dinamo Samarqand's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Nasaf 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Buxoro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Buxoro and 1.0 for Dinamo Samarqand. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buxoro 37%, draw 26%, Dinamo Samarqand 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Buxoro to win at 2.90 – 37% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.94, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Buxoro 1–1 Dinamo Samarqand. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buxoro37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.70
Dinamo Samarqand37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
2.00Expected goals
0.99Buxoro xG
1.01Dinamo Samarqand xG
52%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–014%
1–114%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Buxoro 1.0 – 1.0 Dinamo Samarqand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Samarqand to win✗
37%
2.69
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.34
–
Form
Buxoro – last 3
DWW
11 Mar
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Navbahor
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Kokand-1912
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand – last 3
DWL
12 Mar
vs Nasaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Bunyodkor
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Lokomotiv
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxoro and Dinamo Samarqand.
What is the prediction for Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dinamo Samarqand 37%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our predicted score is Buxoro 1–1 Dinamo Samarqand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Buxoro vs Dinamo Samarqand (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
