Tukums travel to Stadions Arkadija in the Virsliga on Monday 19 October (17:00 WAT) to face Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 64 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Super Nova 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Tukums's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Riga 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 July 2026, finished Tukums 0–1 Rīgas FS. Across their last 3 meetings Rīgas FS have won 3, Tukums 0, with 0 draws and 2.7 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.4 for Rīgas FS and 0.9 for Tukums. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 72%, draw 17%, Tukums 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 2.25, above our fair price of 1.79, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–1 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS72%fair 1.39 · @1.08
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @10.00
Tukums12%fair 8.62 · @21.00
3.28Expected goals
2.42Rīgas FS xG
0.86Tukums xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–19%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.4 – 0.9 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.25.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tukums 12%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Tukums?
Rīgas FS vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Arkadija.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
