Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
2
Value bet: Auda to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAuda to win ✓39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.52
FK Liepaja vs Auda preview and prediction
The match
FK Liepaja host Auda in the Virsliga on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Auda sit 3rd on 73 points (in the top four). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with BFC Daugavpils 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Auda's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Rīgas FS 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 August 2026, finished Auda 1–0 FK Liepaja. Across their last 4 meetings FK Liepaja have won 0, Auda 4, with 0 draws and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for FK Liepaja and 1.3 for Auda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 39%, draw 22%, Auda 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Auda to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 1–1 Auda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja39%fair 2.59 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.40
Auda39%fair 2.57 · @2.80
2.63Expected goals
1.31FK Liepaja xG
1.32Auda xG
63%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.3 – 1.3 Auda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Auda?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Auda 39%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Auda?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Auda?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–1 Auda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Auda?
FK Liepaja vs Auda (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
