Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✗65% · @1.62
Double chanceFK Liepaja or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗10% · fair 9.71
Ogre United vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction
The match
The Virsliga sees Ogre United take on FK Liepaja on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Ogre United are 10th with 19 points from 36 games (in the bottom three), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ogre United's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Tukums 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.
FK Liepaja's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Rīgas FS 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
FK Liepaja arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 June 2026, finished FK Liepaja 4–0 Ogre United. Across their last 3 meetings Ogre United have won 0, FK Liepaja 3, with 0 draws and 3.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.0 for Ogre United and 2.2 for FK Liepaja. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ogre United 15%, draw 20%, FK Liepaja 65%.
Safer route: FK Liepaja or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FK Liepaja to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ogre United 0–2 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ogre United15%fair 6.84 · @4.40
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.80
FK Liepaja65%fair 1.53 · @1.62
3.16Expected goals
0.96Ogre United xG
2.20FK Liepaja xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Ogre United 1.0 – 2.2 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
Our pick is FK Liepaja to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
On our numbers Ogre United have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Liepaja 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
Our predicted score is Ogre United 0–2 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Ogre United vs FK Liepaja?
Ogre United vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
