Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.29Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓67% · @1.29
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.48
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils host Rīgas FS in the Virsliga on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stadions Celtnieks. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Rīgas FS sit 1st on 89 points (top of the table). A gap of 37 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Riga 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Rīgas FS's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with FK Liepaja 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 June 2026, finished Rīgas FS 3–1 BFC Daugavpils. Across their last 2 meetings BFC Daugavpils have won 0, Rīgas FS 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for BFC Daugavpils and 2.0 for Rīgas FS. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 11%, draw 21%, Rīgas FS 67%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rīgas FS to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 0–2 Rīgas FS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils11%fair 8.78 · @7.50
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @5.00
Rīgas FS67%fair 1.48 · @1.29
2.72Expected goals
0.70BFC Daugavpils xG
2.02Rīgas FS xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–113%
1–29%
1–19%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 0.7 – 2.0 Rīgas FS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
Our pick is Rīgas FS to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Rīgas FS 67%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 0–2 Rīgas FS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS?
BFC Daugavpils vs Rīgas FS (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
