The Virsliga sees Super Nova take on Tukums on Thursday 10 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Jana Skredela stadions. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tukums's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Ogre United 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Tukums 1–2 Super Nova. Across their last 4 meetings Super Nova have won 3, Tukums 0, with 1 draw and 2.8 goals per game; both teams scored in 4 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.6 for Super Nova and 1.3 for Tukums. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 48%, draw 21%, Tukums 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Super Nova 1–1 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova48%fair 2.09 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.40
Tukums32%fair 3.17 · @3.10
2.89Expected goals
1.63Super Nova xG
1.26Tukums xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: Super Nova 1.6 – 1.3 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Super Nova vs Tukums?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tukums 32%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Tukums?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Tukums?
Super Nova vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
