The Virsliga sees Riga take on BFC Daugavpils on Monday 7 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Skonto stadions. Riga are 2nd with 83 points from 35 games (in the top four), while BFC Daugavpils sit 4th on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Rīgas FS 3–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Auda 2–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 June 2026, finished BFC Daugavpils 0–0 Riga. Across their last 2 meetings Riga have won 1, BFC Daugavpils 0, with 1 draw and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Riga and 0.8 for BFC Daugavpils. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga 73%, draw 16%, BFC Daugavpils 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga to win – a 73% chance at odds of 1.29. Predicted score: Riga 2–0 BFC Daugavpils. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga73%fair 1.36 · @1.29
Draw16%fair 6.17 · @5.00
BFC Daugavpils11%fair 9.51 · @8.00
3.15Expected goals
2.38Riga xG
0.77BFC Daugavpils xG
56%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Riga 2.4 – 0.8 BFC Daugavpils expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our pick is Riga to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
On our numbers Riga have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and BFC Daugavpils 11%.
How many goals will there be in Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Our predicted score is Riga 2–0 BFC Daugavpils, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Riga vs BFC Daugavpils?
Riga vs BFC Daugavpils (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Skonto stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
