Riga travel to Daugavas stadions in the Virsliga on Monday 31 August (15:30 WAT) to face FK Liepaja. FK Liepaja are 5th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Riga sit 2nd on 83 points (in the top four). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Auda 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Riga's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat KI Klaksvik 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 June 2026, finished Riga 4–0 FK Liepaja. Across their last 2 meetings FK Liepaja have won 0, Riga 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 0.9 for FK Liepaja and 2.4 for Riga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 11%, draw 21%, Riga 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 0–2 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja11%fair 9.31 · @5.40
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.20
Riga69%fair 1.46 · @1.48
3.37Expected goals
0.93FK Liepaja xG
2.43Riga xG
60%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–210%
1–210%
0–18%
0–38%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 0.9 – 2.4 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Riga?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Riga 69%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Riga?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Riga?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Riga?
FK Liepaja vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
