Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRiga to win ✗38% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.46
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.39
Rīgas FS vs Riga preview and prediction
The match
Rīgas FS host Riga in the Virsliga on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at LNK Sporta Parks. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Riga sit 2nd on 83 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Super Nova 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Riga's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with KI Klaksvik 0–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Riga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 June 2026, finished Riga 2–1 Rīgas FS. Across their last 2 meetings Rīgas FS have won 0, Riga 1, with 1 draw and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Rīgas FS and 1.8 for Riga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 38%, draw 24%, Riga 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Riga38%fair 2.63 · @2.75
3.52Expected goals
1.76Rīgas FS xG
1.76Riga xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 1.8 – 1.8 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Riga?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Riga 38%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Riga?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 1–1 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Riga?
Rīgas FS vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
