Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRīgas FS to win ✓74% · @1.12
Double chanceRīgas FS or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa preview and prediction
The match
Grobiņa travel to LNK Sporta Parks in the Virsliga on Monday 10 August (17:30 WAT) to face Rīgas FS. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Grobiņa sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 60 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to FK Jablonec 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Grobiņa's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Riga 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Rīgas FS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Grobiņa 1–3 Rīgas FS. Across their last 2 meetings Rīgas FS have won 2, Grobiņa 0, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Rīgas FS and 0.7 for Grobiņa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 74%, draw 16%, Grobiņa 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.75, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–0 Grobiņa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS74%fair 1.36 · @1.12
Draw16%fair 6.15 · @6.75
Grobiņa10%fair 9.79 · @16.00
3.09Expected goals
2.35Rīgas FS xG
0.74Grobiņa xG
53%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.3 – 0.7 Grobiņa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Grobiņa 10%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–0 Grobiņa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa (Virsliga) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
