Wednesday, 11 November 2026 1 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Virsliga · Latvia · Jana Skredela stadions
1–2
FT

Super Nova vs FK Liepaja prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.70

Super Nova vs FK Liepaja preview and prediction

The match

FK Liepaja travel to Jana Skredela stadions in the Virsliga on Sunday 9 August (14:00 WAT) to face Super Nova. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while FK Liepaja sit 5th on 51 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Super Nova's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Grobiņa 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

FK Liepaja's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Tukums 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Super Nova arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished FK Liepaja 2–1 Super Nova. Across their last 2 meetings Super Nova have won 0, FK Liepaja 2, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for Super Nova and 1.5 for FK Liepaja. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Super Nova 1–1 FK Liepaja. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Super Nova34%fair 2.90 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.55
FK Liepaja45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
2.78Expected goals
1.27Super Nova xG
1.51FK Liepaja xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Super Nova 1.3 – 1.5 FK Liepaja expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFK Liepaja to win ✓45%2.212.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.57
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9%10.70–

Form

Super Nova – last 6

WWLWLL
20 Julvs Grobiņa2–0W
11 Jul@ Tukums2–1W
6 Julvs Ogre United1–2L
1 Jul@ Tukums2–1W
25 Junvs FS Jelgava1–5L
21 Junvs Auda0–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FK Liepaja – last 6

LLWLWL
2 Aug@ Tukums1–2L
30 Jul@ Austria Vienna1–3L
26 Jul@ FS Jelgava2–0W
23 Julvs Austria Vienna0–2L
15 Jul@ Dečić2–1W
11 Jul@ Auda0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jun 2026FK Liepaja v Super Nova2–1
23 Apr 2026Super Nova v FK Liepaja1–2
Super Nova vs FK Liepaja head-to-head page →

Virsliga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rīgas FS352852+6389
2Riga352582+6283
3Auda362277+2473
4BFC Daugavpils36141012+552
5FK Liepaja3614913+151
6Super Nova3611718-1840
7FS Jelgava369819-2035
8Grobiņa3661119-3829
9Tukums3651021-2425
10Ogre United364725-5519

More Virsliga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?

On our numbers Super Nova have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FK Liepaja 45%.

How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?

Our predicted score is Super Nova 1–1 FK Liepaja, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Super Nova vs FK Liepaja?

Super Nova vs FK Liepaja (Virsliga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.