Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBFC Daugavpils to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓10% · fair 9.98
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums preview and prediction
The match
BFC Daugavpils host Tukums in the Virsliga on Saturday 8 August, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stadions Celtnieks. BFC Daugavpils are 4th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Tukums sit 9th on 25 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
BFC Daugavpils's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Tukums's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat FK Liepaja 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
BFC Daugavpils arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 June 2026, finished Tukums 1–1 BFC Daugavpils. Across their last 2 meetings BFC Daugavpils have won 0, Tukums 0, with 2 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for BFC Daugavpils and 1.0 for Tukums. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: BFC Daugavpils 63%, draw 18%, Tukums 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was BFC Daugavpils to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
BFC Daugavpils63%fair 1.60 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @3.70
Tukums19%fair 5.13 · @3.60
3.01Expected goals
2.01BFC Daugavpils xG
0.99Tukums xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: BFC Daugavpils 2.0 – 1.0 Tukums expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
Our pick is BFC Daugavpils to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
On our numbers BFC Daugavpils have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Tukums 19%.
How many goals will there be in BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
Our predicted score is BFC Daugavpils 2–0 Tukums, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums?
BFC Daugavpils vs Tukums (Virsliga) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
