Rīgas FS host Super Nova in the Virsliga on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at LNK Sporta Parks. Rīgas FS are 1st with 89 points from 35 games (top of the table), while Super Nova sit 6th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 49 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Rīgas FS's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat FS Jelgava 4–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Super Nova's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Grobiņa 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Super Nova 0–1 Rīgas FS. Across their last 2 meetings Rīgas FS have won 2, Super Nova 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Rīgas FS and 0.6 for Super Nova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rīgas FS 72%, draw 19%, Super Nova 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.87, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Rīgas FS 2–1 Super Nova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rīgas FS72%fair 1.39 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @7.50
Super Nova9%fair 10.71 · @11.00
2.76Expected goals
2.13Rīgas FS xG
0.63Super Nova xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Rīgas FS 2.1 – 0.6 Super Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
On our numbers Rīgas FS have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Super Nova 9%.
How many goals will there be in Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Our predicted score is Rīgas FS 2–1 Super Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Rīgas FS vs Super Nova?
Rīgas FS vs Super Nova (Virsliga) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at LNK Sporta Parks.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
