Super Nova host Riga in the Virsliga on Tuesday 15 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Jana Skredela stadions. Super Nova are 6th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Riga sit 2nd on 83 points (in the top four). A gap of 43 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Super Nova's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Tukums 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Riga's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Auda 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Riga 3–0 Super Nova. Across their last 2 meetings Super Nova have won 0, Riga 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 0.7 for Super Nova and 2.5 for Riga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Super Nova 7%, draw 20%, Riga 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Riga to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Super Nova 0–2 Riga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Super Nova7%fair 14.83 · @9.50
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @5.80
Riga74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
3.18Expected goals
0.72Super Nova xG
2.46Riga xG
55%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–310%
0–110%
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
From our goals model: Super Nova 0.7 – 2.5 Riga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Riga to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Super Nova vs Riga?
On our numbers Super Nova have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Riga 74%.
How many goals will there be in Super Nova vs Riga?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Super Nova vs Riga?
Our predicted score is Super Nova 0–2 Riga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Super Nova vs Riga?
Super Nova vs Riga (Virsliga) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jana Skredela stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
